Just Transition

Social cost of using fossil fuels much higher than govt gains, study shows

31ST JANUARY 2022

BY: MARLENY ARNOLDI

original article here

The International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) finds in a report on South Africa’s energy fiscal policies, that the social cost of fossil fuel combustion for South Africa is at least R550-billion a year and exceeds, by five times, the revenues government earns from fossil fuel combustion.

The social cost includes deaths, disease and working days lost owing to air pollution and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

The report explores the extent to which South Africa‘s current energy fiscal policies are aligned with its goal to develop a robust domestic energy system that can provide low-carbon energy at a fair cost to all.

Comparing government’s fossil fuel subsidies, tax and non-tax revenues with the social cost, it is evident that the public is paying a much greater bill as far as fossil fuel combustion is concerned in South Africa, said IISD policy adviser Chido Muzondo in a webinar hosted by Trade and Industry Policy Strategies (TIPS).

She explained that subsidies and taxes were one of the key economic policy levers that governments could use to influence energy production and consumption.

Muzondo noted that, despite some renewable energy policy efforts and carbon tax initiatives, national government still supported the ongoing combustion of coal with its R67-billion and R55-billion worth of bailouts to Eskom in 2020/21 and 2019/20, respectively.

The State-owned enterprise also received R45-billion worth of carbon tax exemptions in 2020/21, despite being the country’s largest polluter.

Muzondo further points out that renewable energy only has six supportive policies in South Africa, of which two can be quantified in terms of support.

The single largest source of tax revenue in South Africa is the general fuel levy (another fossil fuel energy source), which generated R82-billion in 2020/21 and constitutes about 6% of tax revenue.

“Fossil fuel subsidies are too high in South Africa, amounting to R172-billion a year. The IISD suggests that there needs to be a phase-out of fossil fuel subsidies that have no or little potential for energy access, and instead have targeted subsidies aimed at clean energy access,” states Muzondo.

Alternatively, fossil fuel subsidies can be shifted to investments in renewable energy and energy efficiency.

The IISD also suggested fewer bailouts to Eskom, and a phasing out of exemptions to the carbon tax, since it was proving to be ineffective in curbing GHG emissions at the necessary scale.

“It is imperative that government increases transparency around energy fiscal policies – we need to be aware of where our tax money is going to,” added Muzondo.

TIPS senior economist Gaylor Montmasson-Clair lamented that the urgency to reform was evident and said continuing with business as usual was not an option.

He added that inequalities were persisting in South Africa, with about 43% of households in the country being energy poor. “We need to gear towards energy access, and clean energy at that. We are part of a global ecosystem, which, if we do not start shifting, will shift us, at our expense.”

There are already carbon taxes incoming at the borders of some countries, such as the European Union, within the next few years.

Montmasson-Clair reckoned that government subsidies should be supportive of energy access and the focus should rather be on incentivising support for cleaner energy, such as electric vehicles, than keeping up subsidies for fossil fuel energy.

“An inclusive transition for energy need not push the burden once more on low-income consumers, when we should be putting it on polluters,” he says.

GOVERNMENT PERSPECTIVE
National Treasury economist Memory Machingambi affirmed South Africa’s commitment to phasing out fossil fuel subsidies and increasing carbon tax efficacy.

She explained that the carbon tax took more than a decade to get in place, and its design today still allowed for exceptions and exemptions, owing to South Africa having a developing economy and there being a need for reliable baseload electricity to advance industrialisation.

“We are nonetheless hoping to create incentives to leapfrog development through early adoption of low carbon technologies.

“National Treasury regards climate change as the biggest risk facing humanity. Announcements on the second phase carbon tax proposals will be made in the Budget 2022 speech,” she confirmed.

Machingambi added that the Treasury was also targeting other initiatives related to energy sector reforms relating to cleaner energy and transport across government.

Speaking about whether South Africa’s carbon tax is effective in curbing GHG emissions, she concedes that carbon pricing should be closer to $25/t of carbon dioxide (CO2), but instead it is between $0.50/t and $3.60/t of CO2.

Machingambi said the 2019 Budget recognised the need to position the electricity sector to embrace clean technology and respond to changes taking place in this regard, as well as the need to diversify the generation of electricity across multiple power producers.

She referenced Eskom’s unbundling into three separate entities for generation, transmission and distribution as an example of South Africa’s forward-thinking on an energy transition, which was decided in 2019.

The unbundling is yet to be finalised. 

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